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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
agricultural and biological sciences
Territorial planning of rustic land constructions and their adaptation to climate change in the province of Málaga, Spain
Land Use Policy, Volume 129, Article 106644, Year 2023
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Description
Incorporating risk analysis into physical planning is increasingly necessary to anticipate and take appropriate measures to prevent and defend against disasters. This paper extends the concept of carrying capacity by studying two models: an ecosystem-bringing capacity model and a territorial model of construction on rural land. A climate change variable was integrated into both models, and the changes that occurred depending on the emissions scenario and the time horizons were considered for developing the suitability, impact, and risk models. The data obtained in this study give us an idea of the difficulties that may exist in most of the territory for the construction location on rural land. In fact, only 14% of the occupied study area reaches positive values for the carrying capacity of ecosystems; besides, there are no constructions on rural land located on positive values if we include the risks in the planning. Contextually, assigning a value to the comparable carrying capacity, based on a holistic conception of planning and scientific data, can facilitate the decision-making to initiate future studies and work. Moreover, this study enables to anticipate the effects of climate change when drawing up adaptation and mitigation policies, plans, or programs. © 2023 Elsevier Ltd
Authors & Co-Authors
Velázquez, Javier
Spain, Avila
Universidad Católica de Ávila
Herráez, Fernando
Spain, Avila
Universidad Católica de Ávila
Gülçin, Derya
Turkey, Aydin
Aydin Adnan Menderes University
Hernando, Ana
Spain, Madrid
Universidad Politécnica de Madrid
Castanho, Rui Alexandre
Poland, Dabrowa Gornicza
Wsb University, Dabrowa Gornicza
Statistics
Authors: 5
Affiliations: 5
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106644
ISSN:
02648377
Research Areas
Environmental