Publication Details

AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS

SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH

agricultural and biological sciences

Scrutinizing the spread of COVID-19 in Madagascar

Infection, Genetics and Evolution, Volume 87, Article 104668, Year 2021

We scrutinize the evolution of COVID-19 in Madagascar by comparing results from three approaches (cubic polynomial, semi-gaussian and gaussian-like models) which we use to provide an analytical form of the spread of the pandemic. In so doing, we introduce (for the first time) the ratio ℜI/Tc,d of the cumulative and daily numbers of infected persons over the corresponding one of tests which are expected to be less sensitive to the number of the tests because the credibility of the results based only on the absolute numbers often raises some criticisms. We also give and compare the effective reproduction number Reff from different approaches and with the ones of some European countries with a small number of population (Greece, Switzerland) and some other African countries. Finally, we show and comment the evolution of the total number of deaths and of the per cent number of cured persons and discuss the performance of the medical care.
Statistics
Citations: 2
Authors: 2
Affiliations: 3
Identifiers
Research Areas
Covid
Study Design
Cross Sectional Study
Study Locations
Madagascar