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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
agricultural and biological sciences
Protected area needs in a changing climate
Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, Volume 5, No. 3, Year 2007
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Description
Range shifts due to climate change may cause species to move out of protected areas. Climate change could therefore result in species range dynamics that reduce the relevance of current fixed protected areas in future conservation strategies. Here, we apply species distribution modeling and conservation planning tools in three regions (Mexico, the Cape Floristic Region of South Africa, and Western Europe) to examine the need for additional protected areas in light of anticipated species range shifts caused by climate change. We set species representation targets and assessed the area required to meet those targets in the present and in the future, under a moderate climate change scenario. Our findings indicate that protected areas can be an important conservation strategy in such a scenario, and that early action may be both more effective and less costly than inaction or delayed action. According to our projections, costs may vary among regions and none of the three areas studied will fully meet all conservation targets, even under a moderate climate change scenario. This suggests that limiting climate change is an essential complement to adding protected areas for conservation of biodiversity. © The Ecological Society of America.
Authors & Co-Authors
Hannah, Lee
United States, Arlington
Conservation International
Midgley, Guy F.
South Africa, Pretoria
South African National Biodiversity Institute
Andelman, Sandy J.
United States, Santa Barbara
National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis
Araújo, Miguel B.
Spain, Madrid
Csic - Museo Nacional de Ciencias Naturales Mncn
Hughes, Greg O.
South Africa, Pretoria
South African National Biodiversity Institute
Martínez-Meyer, Enrique
Mexico, Mexico
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Pearson, Richard G.
United States, New York
American Museum of Natural History
Williams, Paul Hugh
Unknown Affiliation
Statistics
Citations: 739
Authors: 8
Affiliations: 6
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1890/1540-9295(2007)5[131:PANIAC]2.0.CO;2
ISSN:
15409295
e-ISSN:
15409309
Research Areas
Environmental
Study Locations
South Africa