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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
business, management and accounting
Does causality between geopolitical risk, tourism and economic growth matter? Evidence from Turkey
Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Management, Volume 43, Year 2020
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Description
In recent times, the “Arab Spring” has seen most tourism-dependent economies such as Turkey experienced an unprecedented wave of political unrest which has impacted the outlook of the tourism industry significantly. To this effect, this study uses the modified version of the Granger causality approach advanced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to examine the direction of causality among the newly introduced geopolitical risk index, tourism and economic growth in the case of Turkey. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to examine the interrelationship between these variables in a multivariate causality study using quarterly frequency data 1985Q1-2017Q4. Empirical results indicate a unidirectional causality running from geopolitical risk index to economic growth and from geopolitical risk index to tourism. Finding also show that a one standard deviation shock to geopolitical risk has a noticeable negative impact on tourism and economic growth both in the short- and long-run. © 2020 CAUTHE - COUNCIL FOR AUSTRALASIAN TOURISM AND HOSPITALITY EDUCATION
Authors & Co-Authors
Akadiri, Seyi Saint
United States, Irvine
Westcliff University
Eluwole, Kayode K.
Turkey, Famagusta
Eastern Mediterranean University
Akadiri, Ada Chigozie
Turkey, Famagusta
Eastern Mediterranean University
Avcí, Turgay
Turkey, Famagusta
Eastern Mediterranean University
Statistics
Citations: 115
Authors: 4
Affiliations: 2
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1016/j.jhtm.2019.09.002
ISSN:
14476770