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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
environmental science
Climate change adaptation and livestock activity choices in Kenya: An economic analysis
Natural Resources Forum, Volume 32, No. 2, Year 2008
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Description
This paper examines the impact of climate change on the decision of farmers to engage or not to engage in livestock activities and also on the choice of different livestock species in Kenya. To this end, cross-sectional household level data supplemented by long-term averages of climate data are used. The probit model is employed to derive the response of the probability of engaging in livestock activities to climate change. Probit and multivariate probit methods are employed to model the choice of different livestock species. Atmosphere-ocean global circulation models are used to project the impact of different climate scenarios on the probability of engaging in livestock activities and also of adopting different livestock species according to variations in climate. The results suggest that farmers adapt livestock management decisions to climate change. At low levels of temperature increase, the probability of engaging in livestock activities falls, but at higher levels of climate change, the probability rises. The results further show that as it gets hotter, farmers change their livestock choices from dairy cattle and sheep to beef cattle and goats. © 2008 United Nations.
Authors & Co-Authors
Kabubo-Mariara, Jane
Kenya, Nairobi
University of Nairobi
Statistics
Citations: 79
Authors: 1
Affiliations: 1
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1111/j.1477-8947.2008.00178.x
ISSN:
01650203
e-ISSN:
14778947
Research Areas
Environmental
Study Design
Cross Sectional Study
Study Locations
Kenya