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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
earth and planetary sciences
A new scenario framework for climate change research: Background, process, and future directions
Climatic Change, Volume 122, No. 3, Year 2014
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Description
The scientific community is developing new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical changes that could pose risks to human and natural systems; how these changes could interact with social, economic, and environmental development pathways; the degree to which mitigation and adaptation policies can avoid and reduce risks; the costs and benefits of various policy mixes; and the relationship of future climate change adaptation and mitigation policy responses with sustainable development. This paper provides the background to and process of developing the conceptual framework for these scenarios, as described in the three subsequent papers in this Special Issue (Van Vuuren et al., 2013; O'Neill et al., 2013; Kriegler et al., Submitted for publication inthis special issue). The paper also discusses research needs to further develop, apply, and revise this framework in an iterative and open-ended process. A key goal of the framework design and its future development is to facilitate the collaboration of climate change researchers from a broad range of perspectives and disciplines to develop policy- and decision-relevant scenarios and explore the challenges and opportunities human and natural systems could face with additional climate change. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013.
Authors & Co-Authors
Ebi, Kristie L.
United States, Los Altos
Climadapt, Llc
Hallegatte, Stéphane
United States, Washington, D.c.
The World Bank, Usa
Kram, Tom
Netherlands, The Hague
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Arnell, Nigel W.
United Kingdom, Reading
University of Reading
Carter, Timothy R.
Finland, Helsinki
Suomen Ympäristökeskus
Edmonds, Jae A.
United States, Baltimore
Joint Global Change Research Institute
Kriegler, Elmar
Germany, Potsdam
Potsdam Institut Fur Klimafolgenforschung
Mathur, Ritu
India, New Delhi
The Energy and Resources Institute India
O'Neill, Brian C.
United States, Boulder
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Riahi, Keywan
Austria, Laxenburg
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg
Winkler, Harald
South Africa, Cape Town
University of Cape Town
Van Vuuren, Detlef P.
Netherlands, The Hague
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Netherlands, Utrecht
Universiteit Utrecht
Zwickel, Timm
Germany, Potsdam
Potsdam Institut Fur Klimafolgenforschung
Statistics
Citations: 214
Authors: 13
Affiliations: 12
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1007/s10584-013-0912-3
ISSN:
01650009
Research Areas
Environmental
Health System And Policy