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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
environmental science
Differentiation of countries' future commitments in a post-2012 climate regime. An assessment of the "South-North Dialogue" Proposal
Environmental Science and Policy, Volume 10, No. 3, Year 2007
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Description
The "South-North Dialogue" Proposal, developed by researchers from developing and industrialised countries, outlined equitable approaches to mitigation. These approaches were based on the criteria of responsibility, capability and potential to mitigate, and include deep cuts in industrialised (Annex I) countries and differentiated mitigation commitments for developing countries. This paper quantitatively analyses the implications of the proposal for countries' emissions and costs. The analysis focuses on a "political willingness" scenario and four stabilisation scenarios. The analysis shows that stringent stabilisation targets imply that many developing countries would have to take on quantitative mitigation obligations by 2030, even when the Annex I countries take on ambitious mitigation commitments far beyond the Kyoto obligations. The "political willingness scenario" will probably not suffice to limit a warming of the Earth's atmosphere to below 2 °C. © 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Authors & Co-Authors
Elzen, Michel Den
Netherlands, The Hague
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Höhne, Niklas
Germany, Koln
Ecofys Energy and Environment
Brouns, Bernd
Unknown Affiliation
Winkler, Harald
South Africa, Cape Town
University of Cape Town
Ott, Herrmann E.
Germany, Wuppertal
Wuppertal Institut Für Klima, Umwelt, Energie
Statistics
Citations: 63
Authors: 5
Affiliations: 4
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1016/j.envsci.2006.10.009
ISSN:
14629011
Study Approach
Quantitative