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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
medicine
The effect of illicit financial flows on time to reach the fourth millennium development goal in Sub-Saharan Africa: A quantitative analysis
Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, Volume 107, No. 4, Year 2014
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Description
Objectives: This paper sets out to estimate the cost of illicit financial flows (IFF) in terms of the amount of time it could take to reach the fourth Millennium Development Goal (MDG) in 34 African countries. Design: We have calculated the percentage increase in gross domestic product (GDP) if IFFs were curtailed using IFF/GDP ratios. We applied the income (GDP) elasticity of child mortality to the increase in GDP to estimate the reduction in time to reach the fourth MDG in 34 African countries. Participants: children aged under five years. Settings: 34 countries in SSA. Main outcome measures: Reduction in time to reach the first indicator of the fourth MDG, under-five mortality rate in the absence of IFF. Results: We found that in the 34 SSA countries, six countries will achieve their fourth MDG target at the current rates of decline. In the absence of IFF, 16 countries would reach their fourth MDG target by 2015 and there would be large reductions for all other countries. Conclusions: This drain on development is facilitated by financial secrecy in other jurisdictions. Rich and poor countries alike must stem the haemorrhage of IFF by taking decisive steps towards improving financial transparency. © The Royal Society of Medicine 2014.
Authors & Co-Authors
O'Hare, Bernadette A.M.
United Kingdom, St Andrews
University of st Andrews
Makuta, Innocent F.
Malawi, Zomba
University of Malawi
Bar-Zeev, Naor
Malawi, Blantyre
Malawi-liverpool-wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme
United Kingdom, Liverpool
University of Liverpool
Chiwaula, Levison Stanely
Malawi, Zomba
University of Malawi
Cobham, Alex
United Kingdom, London
Centre for Global Development
Statistics
Citations: 19
Authors: 5
Affiliations: 5
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1177/0141076813514575
ISSN:
01410768
Research Areas
Health System And Policy
Maternal And Child Health
Study Approach
Quantitative