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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
earth and planetary sciences
Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn of Africa region from 1961 to 2010
International Journal of Climatology, Volume 34, No. 4, Year 2014
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Description
Recent special reports on climate extremes have shown evidences of changes in the patterns of climate extremes at global, regional and local scales. Understanding the characteristics of climate extremes at regional and local levels is critical not only for the development of preparedness and early warning systems, but is also fundamental in the development of any adaptation strategies. There is still very limited knowledge regarding the past, present and future patterns of climate extremes in the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). This study, which was supported by the World Bank Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (WB-GFDRR) and implemented by the World Meteorological Organization, was organized in terms of three workshops with three main objectives; (1) analysis of daily rainfall and temperature extremes for ten countries in the GHA region using observed in situ data running from 1971 to 2006, (2) assessing whether the United Kingdom Met-office and Hadley centre Providing REgional Climates for Impact Studies (UK-PRECIS) modelling system can provide realistic representation of the past and present climate extremes as observed by available in situ data, and (3) studying the future regional climate extremes under different scenarios to further assess the expected changes in climate extremes. This paper, therefore, uses the outputs of these workshops and also includes post-workshop analyses to assess the changes of climate extremes within the GHA. The results showed a significant decrease in total precipitation in wet days greater than 1mm and increasing warm extremes, particularly at night, while cold extremes are decreasing. Considering a combination of geophysical models and satellite gravimetry observations from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission in the frame of GRACE daily Kalman-smoothing models, for the years 2002 to 2010, we explored a decline in total water storage variations over the GHA. © 2013 Royal Meteorological Society.
Authors & Co-Authors
Omondi, Philip Aming O.
Kenya, Nairobi
Igad Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Icpac
Awange, J. L.
Australia, Perth
Curtin University
Forootan, Ehsan
Germany, Bonn
Universität Bonn
Ogallo, Laban Ayieko J.
Kenya, Nairobi
Igad Climate Prediction and Applications Centre Icpac
Barakiza, Ruben
Burundi
Geographical Institute of Burundi (igebu)
Girmaw, Gezahegn Bogale
Ethiopia, Addis Ababa
National Meteorological Agency
Fesseha, Isaac
Unknown Affiliation
Kululetera, Venerabilis
Tanzania, Dar es Salaam
Tanzania Meteorological Agency
Kilembe, Caroline
Tanzania, Dar es Salaam
Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security
Mbati, Mathieu Mugunga
Rwanda, Kigali
Rwanda Meteorology Agency
Kilavi, Mary
Kenya, Nairobi
Kenya Meteorological Services
King'uyu, S. M.
Kenya, Nairobi
Kenya Meteorological Services
Omeny, Peter A.
Kenya, Nairobi
Kenya Meteorological Services
Njogu, Andrew
Kenya, Nairobi
Kenya Meteorological Services
Badr, Eldin Mamoun
Sudan, Khartoum
Sudan Meteorological Authority
Musa, Tibin Adam
Sudan, Khartoum
Animal Resources Research Corporation
Muchiri, Peris
Kenya, Nairobi
Somalia Water and Land Information Management System
Bamanya, Deus
Uganda, Kampala
Uganda National Meteorological Authority
Komutunga, Everline
Uganda, Mbarara
National Agricultural Research Organization
Statistics
Citations: 232
Authors: 19
Affiliations: 14
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1002/joc.3763
ISSN:
08998418
e-ISSN:
10970088
Research Areas
Environmental
Health System And Policy
Study Approach
Quantitative