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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
agricultural and biological sciences
The projected impact of climate and land use change on plant diversity: Anexample from West Africa
Journal of Arid Environments, Volume 96, Year 2013
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Description
In West Africa, plant diversity is threatened by future climate and land use change, however, synergistic forecasts for this area are lacking to date. We investigated the impact and the interplay of future (2050) climate and land use change on plant diversity in Burkina Faso, which covers the major bioclimatic gradient in West Africa. Thus, regions with different levels of species richness can be investigated. The LandSHIFT model was adapted for this study to derive novel future (2050) land use simulations. One-class support vector machines (SVMs) were performed with these land use simulations together with current and future (2050) climate projections at a 0.1° resolution. Our modeling results show that the flora of Burkina Faso will be primarily negatively impacted by future climate and land use changes. However, we found contrasting latitudinal patterns. The more humid regions in Southern Burkina Faso would be more affected in terms of species loss than the Sahel. Climate change is more important than land use change under the assumption of technological stagnation in the agricultural sector. Our results suggest that, in general, the plant diversity in dry and humid regions of the tropics might respond differently to climate and land use change. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd.
Authors & Co-Authors
Heubes, Jonathan
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Biodiversität Und Klima Forschungszentrum
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Goethe-universität Frankfurt am Main
Schmidt, Marco
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Biodiversität Und Klima Forschungszentrum
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Goethe-universität Frankfurt am Main
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Forschungsinstitut Und Naturmuseum
Stuch, Benjamin
Germany, Kassel
Universität Kassel
García Márquez, Jaime Ricardo
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Biodiversität Und Klima Forschungszentrum
Colombia, Bogota
Carbones Del Cerrejón Limited (el Cerrejón)
Wittig, Rüdiger
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Biodiversität Und Klima Forschungszentrum
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Goethe-universität Frankfurt am Main
Zizka, Georg
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Biodiversität Und Klima Forschungszentrum
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Goethe-universität Frankfurt am Main
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Forschungsinstitut Und Naturmuseum
Thiombiano, Adjima M.Emmanuel
Burkina Faso, Ouagadougou
University of Ouagadougou
Sinsin, Brice Augustin
Benin, Cotonou
University of Abomey-calavi
Schaldach, Ruediger
Germany, Kassel
Universität Kassel
Hahn, Karen
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Senckenberg Biodiversität Und Klima Forschungszentrum
Germany, Frankfurt am Main
Goethe-universität Frankfurt am Main
Statistics
Citations: 63
Authors: 10
Affiliations: 7
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1016/j.jaridenv.2013.04.008
ISSN:
01401963
e-ISSN:
1095922X
Research Areas
Environmental
Study Locations
Multi-countries
Burkina Faso