Temporal Association of Rotavirus Vaccine Introduction and Reduction in All-Cause Childhood Diarrheal Hospitalizations in South Africa

Background. The public health impact of rotavirus vaccination in African settings with a high human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection prevalence is yet to be established. We evaluated trends in all-cause diarrheal hospitalizations in Soweto, Johannesburg, before and after the introduction of rotavirus vaccine into South Africa's national immunization program in August 2009. Methods. Hospitalizations in children <5 years of age with a diagnosis of diarrhea, defined by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes A00-A05, A06.0-A06.3, A06.9, A07.0-A07.2, A07.9, and A08-A09, were identified at the Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital from 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2014. The median annual prevaccine (2006-2008) hospitalization incidence was compared to that of the vaccine era (2010-2014), and stratified by age group and HIV infection status. Results. Incidence reductions (per 1000 population) were greatest in children aged <12 months: 54.4 in the prevaccine era vs 30.0, 23.6, 20.0, 18.8, and 18.9 in the postvaccine years 2010-2014, respectively (a 44.9%-65.4% reduction). Lower incidence reductions (39.8%-49.4%) were observed among children aged 12-24 months from the second year post-vaccine introduction onward. Reductions were observed in both HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected children. There was a change in the seasonal pattern of diarrheal hospitalizations post-vaccine introduction, with flattening of the autumn-winter peaks seen in the prevaccine years. Conclusions. An accelerated and sustained decline in all-cause diarrheal hospitalizations, temporally associated with rotavirus vaccine introduction, was observed in children <2 years of age. However, the impact of other interventions such as improved sanitation and changes in HIV management cannot be discounted.