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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
agricultural and biological sciences
Identifying predictors of international fisheries conflict
Fish and Fisheries, Volume 22, No. 4, Year 2021
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Description
Marine capture fishery resources are declining, and demand for them is rising. These trends are suspected to incite conflict, but their effects have not been quantitatively examined. We applied a multi-model ensemble approach to a global database of international fishery conflicts between 1974 and 2016 to test the supply-induced scarcity hypothesis (diminishing supplies of fishery resources increase fisheries conflict), the demand-induced scarcity hypothesis (rising demand for fishery resources increases fisheries conflict), and three alternative political and economic hypotheses. While no single indicator was able to fully explain international conflict over fishery resources, we found a positive relationship between increased conflict over fishery resources and higher levels of per capita GDP for the period 1975–1996. For the period 1997–2016, we found evidence supporting the demand-induced scarcity hypothesis, and the notion that an increase in supply of fishery resources is linked to an increase in conflict occurrence. By identifying significant predictors of international fisheries conflict, our analysis provides useful information for policy approaches for conflict anticipation and management. © 2021 The Authors. Fish and Fisheries published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Authors & Co-Authors
Singh, Gerald G.
Canada, St John's
Memorial University of Newfoundland
Wabnitz, Colette C.C.
Canada, Vancouver
The University of British Columbia
United States, Palo Alto
Stanford University
Österblom, Henrik
Sweden, Stockholm
Stockholm Resilience Centre
Cumming, Graeme S.
Australia, Townsville
Arc Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies
Morrison, Tiffany Hope
Australia, Townsville
Arc Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies
Statistics
Citations: 2
Authors: 5
Affiliations: 5
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1111/faf.12554
ISSN:
14672960
Research Areas
Health System And Policy