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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
Sexual behaviour patterns in South Africa and their association with the spread of HIV: Insights from a mathematical model
Demographic Research, Volume 21, Year 2009
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Description
This paper aims to quantify the effects of different types of sexual risk behaviour on the spread of HIV in South Africa. A mathematical model is developed to simulate changes in numbers of sexual partners, changes in marital status, changes in commercial sex activity, and changes in the frequency of unprotected sex over the life course. This is extended to allow for the transmission of HIV, and the model is fitted to South African HIV prevalence data and sexual behaviour data. Results suggest that concurrent partnerships and other non-spousal partnerships are major drivers of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in South Africa. © 2009 Leigh F. Johnson et al.
Authors & Co-Authors
Johnson, Leigh Francis
South Africa, Cape Town
University of Cape Town
Dorrington, Rob Edwin
South Africa, Cape Town
University of Cape Town
Bradshaw, Debbie Young
South Africa, Tygerberg
South African Medical Research Council
Pillay-van Wyk, Victoria
South Africa, Pretoria
Human Sciences Research Council of South Africa
Rehle, Thomas M.
South Africa, Pretoria
Human Sciences Research Council of South Africa
Statistics
Citations: 90
Authors: 5
Affiliations: 3
Identifiers
Doi:
10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.11
e-ISSN:
14359871
Research Areas
Infectious Diseases
Sexual And Reproductive Health
Study Design
Cross Sectional Study
Study Locations
South Africa