Skip to content
Home
About Us
Resources
Profiles Metrics
Authors Directory
Institutions Directory
Top Authors
Top Institutions
Top Sponsors
AI Digest
Contact Us
Menu
Home
About Us
Resources
Profiles Metrics
Authors Directory
Institutions Directory
Top Authors
Top Institutions
Top Sponsors
AI Digest
Contact Us
Home
About Us
Resources
Profiles Metrics
Authors Directory
Institutions Directory
Top Authors
Top Institutions
Top Sponsors
AI Digest
Contact Us
Menu
Home
About Us
Resources
Profiles Metrics
Authors Directory
Institutions Directory
Top Authors
Top Institutions
Top Sponsors
AI Digest
Contact Us
Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
agricultural and biological sciences
The epidemic threshold of vector-borne diseases with seasonality: The case of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Chichaoua, Morocco
Journal of Mathematical Biology, Volume 53, No. 3, Year 2006
Notification
URL copied to clipboard!
Description
Cutaneous leishmaniasis is a vector-borne disease transmitted to humans by sandflies. In this paper, we develop a mathematical model which takes into account the seasonality of the vector population and the distribution of the latent period from infection to symptoms in humans. Parameters are fitted to real data from the province of Chichaoua, Morocco. We also introduce a generalization of the definition of the basic reproduction number R0 which is adapted to periodic environments. This R0 is estimated numerically for the epidemic in Chichaoua; R0∼1.94. The model suggests that the epidemic could be stopped if the vector population were reduced by a factor (R0)2∼3.76. © Springer-Verlag 2006.
Authors & Co-Authors
Bacaër, Nicolas
France, Bondy
Ird Centre D'ile-de-france
Guernaoui, Souad
Morocco, Marakech
Faculté Des Sciences Semlalia
Statistics
Citations: 67
Authors: 2
Affiliations: 2
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1007/s00285-006-0015-0
ISSN:
03036812
e-ISSN:
14321416
Study Design
Cross Sectional Study
Study Locations
Morocco