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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
earth and planetary sciences
A new scenario framework for Climate Change Research: Scenario matrix architecture
Climatic Change, Volume 122, No. 3, Year 2014
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Description
This paper describes the scenario matrix architecture that underlies a framework for developing new scenarios for climate change research. The matrix architecture facilitates addressing key questions related to current climate research and policy-making: identifying the effectiveness of different adaptation and mitigation strategies (in terms of their costs, risks and other consequences) and the possible trade-offs and synergies. The two main axes of the matrix are: 1) the level of radiative forcing of the climate system (as characterised by the representative concentration pathways) and 2) a set of alternative plausible trajectories of future global development (described as shared socio-economic pathways). The matrix can be used to guide scenario development at different scales. It can also be used as a heuristic tool for classifying new and existing scenarios for assessment. Key elements of the architecture, in particular the shared socio-economic pathways and shared policy assumptions (devices for incorporating explicit mitigation and adaptation policies), are elaborated in other papers in this special issue. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013.
Authors & Co-Authors
Van Vuuren, Detlef P.
Netherlands, The Hague
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Netherlands, Utrecht
Universiteit Utrecht
Kriegler, Elmar
Germany, Potsdam
Potsdam Institut Fur Klimafolgenforschung
O'Neill, Brian C.
United States, Boulder
National Center for Atmospheric Research
Ebi, Kristie L.
United States, Los Altos
Climadapt, Llc
Riahi, Keywan
Austria, Laxenburg
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg
Carter, Timothy R.
Finland, Helsinki
Suomen Ympäristökeskus
Edmonds, Jae A.
United States, Richland
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Hallegatte, Stéphane
United States, Washington, D.c.
The World Bank, Usa
Kram, Tom
Netherlands, The Hague
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
Mathur, Ritu
India, New Delhi
The Energy and Resources Institute India
Winkler, Harald
South Africa, Cape Town
University of Cape Town
Statistics
Citations: 611
Authors: 11
Affiliations: 11
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1007/s10584-013-0906-1
ISSN:
01650009
Research Areas
Environmental
Health System And Policy