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Publication Details
AFRICAN RESEARCH NEXUS
SHINING A SPOTLIGHT ON AFRICAN RESEARCH
earth and planetary sciences
Regional dust storm modeling for health services: The case of valley fever
Aeolian Research, Volume 14, Year 2014
Notification
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Description
On 5 July 2011, a massive dust storm struck Phoenix, Arizona (USA), raising concerns for increased cases of valley fever (coccidioidomycosis, or, cocci). A quasi-operational experimental airborne dust forecast system predicted the event and provides model output for continuing analysis in collaboration with public health and air quality communities. An objective of this collaboration was to see if a signal in cases of valley fever in the region could be detected and traced to the storm - an American haboob. To better understand the atmospheric life cycle of cocci spores, the DREAM dust model (also herein, NMME-DREAM) was modified to simulate spore emission, transport and deposition. Inexact knowledge of where cocci-causing fungus grows, the low resolution of cocci surveillance and an overall active period for significant dust events complicate analysis of the effect of the 5 July 2011 storm. In the larger context of monthly to annual disease surveillance, valley fever statistics, when compared against PM10 observation networks and modeled airborne dust concentrations, may reveal a likely cause and effect. Details provided by models and satellites fill time and space voids in conventional approaches to air quality and disease surveillance, leading to land-atmosphere modeling and remote sensing that clearly mark a path to advance valley fever epidemiology, surveillance and risk avoidance. © 2014 The Authors.
Authors & Co-Authors
Sprigg, William A.
United States, Tucson
The University of Arizona
United States, Orange
Chapman University
Nickovic, Slobodan
United States, Tucson
The University of Arizona
Serbia, Belgrade
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia
Serbia, Belgrade
University of Belgrade
Galgiani, John N.N.
United States, Tucson
Valley Fever Center for Excellence
Pejanovic, Goran
Serbia, Belgrade
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia
Petkovic, Slavko
Serbia, Belgrade
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia
Vujadinovic, Mirjam
Serbia, Belgrade
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia
Serbia, Belgrade
University of Belgrade
Vukovic, Ana
Serbia, Belgrade
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia
Serbia, Belgrade
University of Belgrade
Dacic, Milan
Serbia, Belgrade
Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia
DiBiase, Scott
United States, Florence
Pinal County Air Quality Control District
Prasad, Anup
United States, Orange
Chapman University
El-Askary, Hesham M.
United States, Orange
Chapman University
Egypt, Alexandria
Faculty of Science
Statistics
Citations: 91
Authors: 11
Affiliations: 7
Identifiers
Doi:
10.1016/j.aeolia.2014.03.001
ISSN:
18759637
Research Areas
Environmental